
Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv – Match 4 of the EuroLeague 2026 Quarterfinals
Prediction: Victory for Real Madrid with extra time included. Main bet: Real Madrid win (with handicap -2.5).
On May 7, on neutral soil in Bulgaria, Hapoel Tel Aviv will face Real Madrid again in the fourth match of the EuroLeague quarterfinal series. The home team achieved a character victory in the third game and is eager to even the series. The visitors, for their part, intend to secure their place in the semi-finals. Who will emerge victorious? Find out in our forecast.
Team Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv: Current Form
The representative of Israel has gone through difficult times this season, but continues to cling to every opportunity. The team remained among the leaders of the tournament for a long time, but due to competition and playing on neutral territory, it could not maintain the lead. Hapoel Tel Aviv qualified for the playoffs, where they faced Real Madrid. The first two matches ended in defeat, which is not surprising, since the series began in Madrid. The third match was played in Bulgaria, where Dimitris Itoudis's pupils showed character and gave hope to the fans (76:69). The rivals played cautiously, but the Tel Aviv club took better advantage of the opponent's mistakes and extended the series.
Interesting Facts for Betting (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
Hapoel Tel Aviv has won two of its last five games.
Real Madrid: Current Form
The Madrid club has shown with its play that it is ready to fight for the main trophy of the Euroleague this season. The team finished the regular season in the top three and confidently advanced to the playoffs. Real Madrid achieved two consecutive victories at home, and it seemed that in the third match Sergio Scariolo's men would dominate Hapoel Tel Aviv. The Madrid team played very apathetically and did not look like themselves at all. There were many doubts about the attack, which failed, so the series will continue for at least one more game (69:76). The next match will be played again in Bulgaria, and Real Madrid needs to resolve the issue of its passage to the next round of the playoffs.
Interesting Data to Bet on (Real Madrid)
In four of the last five direct confrontations, Real Madrid has emerged victorious.
Comparative Statistics
| Statistics | Hapoel Tel Aviv | real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games (Wins) | 2 (40%) | 4 (80%) |
| Last 10 games (Wins) | 5 (50%) | 7 (70%) |
| Last 20 games (Wins) | 12 (60%) | 15 (75%) |
History of Direct Confrontations
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Result | Visiting Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76:69 | real Madrid |
| 01.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 102:75 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04/29/26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 86:82 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04.24.26 | Super League | Ironi Kiryat… | 81:95 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04.23.26 | Super League | Hapoel Galil… | 90:89 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04/17/26 | EuroLeague | Monaco | 105:85 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 05.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76:69 | real Madrid |
| 03.05.26 | Endesa League | real Madrid | 131:123 | Murcia |
| 01.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 102:75 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04/29/26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 86:82 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04.25.26 | Endesa League | Valencia | 82:96 | real Madrid |
| 04/19/26 | Endesa League | real Madrid | 90:95 | Tenerife |
| 05.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76:69 | real Madrid |
| 01.05.26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 102:75 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 04/29/26 | EuroLeague Playoff | real Madrid | 86:82 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 03/24/26 | EuroLeague | real Madrid | 92:83 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 11.25.25 | EuroLeague | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74:75 | real Madrid |
Party Fees
The bookmakers offer an odds of 1.80 for the victory of Hapoel Tel Aviv and 2.00 for Real Madrid. The total of more than 169.5 points is offered at 1.87, and the total of less at 1.87.
| Betting House | 1 | x | 2 | Bond |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| live | 1.96 | – | 1.93 | Freetbet 100000 |
| live | 2.00 | 14.00 | 2.14 | Freetbet |
| live | 1.94 | – | 1.86 | Freetbet €130 |
| live | 1.90 | – | 1.90 | Freetbet 500 |
Forecast and Betting
Prediction: Victory for Real Madrid with extra time included.
Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown and proven that it is ready to go all the way. The team has learned from two consecutive defeats and has achieved an extremely important victory, also in neutral territory. Real Madrid clearly relaxed after the home games and already saw themselves with one foot in the semi-finals, but they received a slap in the face. The Madrid team needs to close the series and, most likely, the visitors will gather their strength this time. We expect a victory for Real Madrid.
Our recommendation: Real Madrid's victory with extra time included for 2.00.
Main bet: Victory for Real Madrid with a -2.5 handicap.
Safe bet: Total points more than 165.5.
Risk bet (high odds): Victory for Real Madrid by more than 7 points.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. How is this forecast made?
This forecast is made by thoroughly analyzing statistical data from previous matches, such as results, attack and defense statistics, recent team form, head-to-head matches and trends. Reliable sports information sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored are used to obtain accurate data.
2. Why is Real Madrid's victory predicted?
Despite Hapoel Tel Aviv's victory in the last match, Real Madrid has shown greater consistency and quality throughout the season. Their head-to-head record and ability to bounce back from losses suggest they have the mental and tactical strength to close out the series. The defeat in the third game could serve as a wake-up call for Real Madrid to play with greater intensity.
3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?
In the world of sports betting, there is no 100% guarantee. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to remember that there are unexpected variables in each match, such as last-minute injuries, referee decisions or exceptional performance by a player. In case of a failed prediction, it is recommended to analyze the reasons for the result and adjust the strategy for future bets, without getting carried away by frustration.
4. What is the equipment rating system used?
The rating system evaluates teams in several key categories: Form (recent performance), Attack (scoring ability), Defense (defensive solidity) and Motivation (importance of the match and mood). Each category is scored out of 10. For example, a team could have a Form rating of 8/10, Attack 9/10, Defense 7/10 and Motivation 9/10.
5. What does “with extension included” mean?
It means that the bet is considered valid regardless of whether the match is decided in regulation time or whether extra time is necessary to determine the winner.
6. What are bet levels (main, sure, risk)?
There are different approaches to betting:
- Major: The most likely and balanced bet in terms of risk/reward.
- Safe: A bet with a high probability of success, although with a lower fee. Seek to minimize risk.
- Risk (high fee): A bet with a lower probability of success but with a significantly high odds, seeking a great reward.
7. How do you analyze the last 5-10 games?
The results of each team's last 5 to 10 matches are examined to identify patterns of performance, winning or losing streaks, the effectiveness of their attack and defense, and how they perform against different types of opponents.
8. Why is it played in Bulgaria?
The match is being played in Bulgaria because it is a neutral territory agreed upon by both teams for the playoff series, probably due to logistical or security circumstances.
9. What is expected of Hapoel Tel Aviv in this match?
Hapoel Tel Aviv are expected to play with the same intensity and determination that they showed in the third game, looking to take advantage of any Real Madrid weaknesses and force a possible decisive match.
10. What unexpected variables could affect the result?
Injuries to key players, an inspired day for a specific player on the opposing team, unusual defensive errors, or a bad shooting streak can significantly influence the final outcome of the game.
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